Ders Bilgileri

#### Ders Tanımı

Ders Kodu Yarıyıl T+U Saat Kredi AKTS
APPLIED ECONOMICAL PREVISION IKT 450 8 3 + 0 3 5
Ön Koşul Dersleri Statistics and econometrics knowledge
 Dersin Dili Türkçe Dersin Seviyesi Lisans Dersin Türü SECMELI Dersin Koordinatörü Prof.Dr. AZİZ KUTLAR Dersi Verenler Dersin Yardımcıları Research assistants Dersin Kategorisi Dersin Amacı Introducing the structure of economic series, Getting the skill of forecasting the future by Box-Jenkins approach on the computer and by applying various forecast technics, (getting the skill of) comparing forecast accuracy. Dersin İçeriği In this course the structure of time series, forecast methodology, analysises of time series with one variable, simple technics, AR(I)MA, analysises of time series with multiple variables; econometric reason-result, AR(I)MAX technics and SAS STAT, SAS ETS applications
 Dersin Öğrenme Çıktıları Öğretim Yöntemleri Ölçme Yöntemleri 1 - it recognizes the pattern of serial 1 - 3 - 5 - 12 - A - C - D - 2 - it explains the structure forecasting techniques 5 - 9 - 14 - 16 - A - B - C - D - 3 - it applies technique which is appropriate for serial 1 - 2 - 4 - 5 - 6 - 8 - 14 - A - C - D - 4 - it makes forecasting 1 - 2 - 4 - 8 - 10 - 14 - A - C - D - 5 - it controls stages of model estimates and tests the validity of the model 1 - 3 - 8 - 14 - A - C - D - 6 - it forecasts 1 - 2 - 3 - 8 - 14 - 16 - A - C - D - 7 - it evaluates forecasting 5 - 16 - A - C - D - 8 - it learns SAS STAT 8 - 14 - 16 - A - D - 9 - it by using SAS estimate model 1 - 4 - 12 - 16 - A - B - C - D - F - 12 - it compares the accuracy of predictions 3 - 16 - A - C - D - 13 - it learns SAS ETS 1 - 3 - 10 - 14 - 16 - A - B - C - D - 15 - it compares superiorities of forecasting techniques 2 - 3 - 14 - 16 - A - B - C - D - F -
 Öğretim Yöntemleri: 8:Group Study 14:Self Study 16:Project Based Learning 1:Lecture 4:Drilland Practice 12:Case Study 3:Discussion 10:Brain Storming 2:Question-Answer 5:Demonstration 9:Simulation 6:Motivations to Show Ölçme Yöntemleri: A:Testing D:Project / Design B:Oral Exam C:Homework F:Performance Task
; ;